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The new global growth path [electronic resource] : implications for climate change analysis and policy / Peter Sheehan
Bib ID 5465573
Format BookBook, OnlineOnline
Author
Sheehan, P. J. (Peter James), 1940-
 
Online Access
Online Versions
Description Melbourne : Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, 2007 
Series

Climate change working paper ; no. 14.

PANDORA electronic collection.

Technical Details

Mode of access: Internet via the World Wide Web. Address as at 22/07/2011: http://www.cfses.com/publish/papers_climate.htm. 

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat reader to access PDF document. 

Summary

In recent years the world has moved to a new path of rapid global growth, largely driven by the developing countries, which is energy intensive and heavily reliant on the use of coal – global coal use will rise by nearly 60% over the decade to 2010. On unchanged policies global CO2 emissions from fuel combustion are likely to nearly double their 2000 level by 2020 and continue to rise beyond 2030. Neither the SRES marker scenarios nor the reference cases assembled in recent studies using integrated assessment models capture this abrupt shift to rapid growth based on fossil fuels and centered in key Asian countries. An international effort to develop new, realistic projections to 2030, with a range of scenarios beyond that time, is urgently required. Recognition of this path as a realistic possibility will have significant effects on the impact and damage estimates in an unchanged policy case, on the analysis of achievable stabilisation paths and on estimates of the costs of achieving stabilisation at a given GHG concentration level. Finally, such recognition means that, if widely desired stabilisation goals are to be achieved, policies with an immediate effect on emissions, perhaps such as price, tax and regulatory measures to reduce energy use and the rapid diffusion of existing non-fossil fuel technologies, will be required, together with greater knowledge about the effectiveness and the economic costs of such policies.

Notes

Title from title screen (viewed on 22 July 2011)

Includes bibliographical references (p. 20-21)

Text and graphics.

Selected for archiving.

Frequency 21 p 
Subjects Greenhouse gas mitigation.  |  Energy consumption.  |  Climatic changes - Government policy.  |  Energy consumption  |  Coal  |  Economic development  |  China  |  India  |  Economic growth  |  Statistics  |  Trends to 2030  |  International comparisons
Other authors/contributors Victoria University of Technology. Centre for Strategic Economic Studies

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Members of Aboriginal, Torres Strait Islander and Maori communities are advised that this catalogue contains names and images of deceased people. All users of the catalogue should also be aware that certain words, terms or descriptions may be culturally sensitive and may be considered inappropriate today, but may have reflected the author's/creator's attitude or that of the period in which they were written.