Limits to forecasting : towards a theory of forecast errors / Geert Dewulf
- Bib ID:
- 244730
- Format:
- Book
- Author:
- Dewulf, Geert
- Description:
-
- Amsterdam : Thesis, c1991
- ii, 241 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
- ISBN:
- 9051701241
- Full contents:
-
- Ch. 5. Forecasts of Physician Manpower in the Netherlands. 5.1. Developments in forecasting supply and demand with respect to physicians. 5.2. Development of the demand for and the supply of physicians. 5.3. Accuracy
- Ch. 6. Forecasts of Physician Manpower in the United States. 6.1. The forecasting models. 6.2. Influences on physician manpower. 6.3. Evaluation of forecasts on accuracy
- Ch. 7. Conclusions. 7.1. General findings. 7.2. Correlates of accuracy. 7.3. Discussion. 7.4. Recommendations
- Samenvatting (Summary in Dutch).
- Partial contents:
-
- Ch. 1. Dynamics and Characteristics of Future Research. 1.1. Development of future research. 1.2. Typology of future research. 1.3. Evaluation criteria. 1.4. Measures of forecast accuracy. 1.5. Further elaboration of the problem formulation. 1.6. Selection of the cases
- Ch. 2. Towards a Theory of Forecast Errors. 2.1. Sources of errors. 2.2. Review of studies on accuracy. 2.3. Frame of reference for the evaluation on accuracy
- Ch. 3. Forecasts of Pupil Numbers in Primary and Special Education in the Netherlands. 3.1. Developments in primary and special education. 3.2. Forecasting models. 3.3. Accuracy of the forecasts
- Ch. 4. National and Regional Forecasts of the Number of Pupils Receiving Secondary Education in the Netherlands. 4.1. Developments in full-time secondary education. 4.2. Description of the forecast models. 4.2.1. National forecasts. 4.2.2. Regional forecasts. 4.3. Accuracy. 4.3.1. National forecasts. 4.3.2. Regional forecasts.
- Notes:
-
- Dutch summary.
- Originally presented as the author's thesis (doctoral)--Rijksuniversiteit Utrecht, 1991.
- Includes bibliographical references (p. [219]-236) and indexes.
- Subject:
- Copyright:
-
In Copyright
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Copyright status was determined using the following information:
- Material type:
- Literary Dramatic Musical
- Published status:
- Published
- Publication date:
- 1991
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