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Toward the Year 2000 [microform] / Kenneth E. Boulding
Bib ID 5209401
Format BookBook, MicroformMicroform, OnlineOnline
Author
Boulding, Kenneth E
 
Online Versions
Description [Washington, D.C.] : Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, 1969 
17 p. 
Summary

Predicting the future of social systems is useful, but barely possible. Essential to the social sciences is a random element, knowledge, and there is no way of predicting what will be known in the future. The non-random elements, however, allow some predictions. Demography predicts underpopulation in developed countries and the opposite in underdeveloped countries. Economics predicts a slackening of production in America because of resource and pollution factors. Political science predicts domination by the Republican Party unless new coalitions develop. Culture may continue its emancipation direction or be stopped by a puritan or neo-fascist reaction. "Pressures for mondialization of culture are enormous." The Christian religions will continue to be adaptable, but some of the clergy are continuously more radical than the laity. Spiritual crises are more likely to the communist world because of its secular eschatology. The rate of expenditure on education in the U. S. will increase and will require more federal support. Stability is predictable in the international system. Race relations regarding American blacks will improve as they take their place in the "mosaic society." The "integrative system" will provide the real answer to success. (DJB)

Notes

ERIC Note: Presented at the Second General Session of the Annual Meeting of the National Council for the Social Studies, Houston, Texas, November 28, 1969.

May also be available online. Address as at 14/8/18: https://eric.ed.gov/

Reproduction Microfiche. [Washington D.C.]: ERIC Clearinghouse microfiches : positive. 
Subjects Prediction.  |  Social Change.  |  Social Integration.  |  Social Sciences.  |  Social Systems.
Other authors/contributors National Council for the Social Studies, Washington, DC
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