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Forecasting the Ph.D. Labor Market [microform] : Pitfalls for Policy. Technical Report Number 2 / Richard B. Freeman and David W. Breneman
Bib ID 5255063
Format BookBook, MicroformMicroform, OnlineOnline
Author
Freeman, Richard B
 
Online Versions
Description [Washington, D.C.] : Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, 1974 
56 p. 
Summary

This paper provides a critical review of the purposes, current techniques and potential methods for analyzing doctorate and other high-level labor markets. Chapter 1 describes and interprets the doctorate manpower market of the 1960's and early 1970's, as well as the forecasted manpower crisis of the 1970's and early 1980's. Chapter 2 gives a detailed critique of the shortcomings of current forecasting techniques, suggests possible ways to improve the methodology of forecasts, and evaluates the major implications of current forecasts - that the doctorate market and graduate education face a substantial glut of Ph.D.'s in the near future. Chapter 3 deals with the market adjustment process characteristic of Ph.D. labor markets, by which individuals and enterprises respond to supply-demand imbalances. One possible scenario for the doctorate market in the future is sketched out. Chapter 4 discusses policy implications of the analysis and suggests some practical next steps that would further improve our understanding of this complex subject. The paper also includes two technical appendices, dealing with (a) the economics of shortages and surpluses, and (b) models of the market adjustment process. (Author)

Notes

Availability: Printing and Publishing Office, National Academy of Sciences, 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20418.

Educational level discussed: Higher Education.

May also be available online. Address as at 14/8/18: https://eric.ed.gov/

Reproduction Microfiche. [Washington D.C.]: ERIC Clearinghouse microfiches : positive. 
Subjects Doctoral Degrees.  |  Graduate Study.  |  Higher Education.  |  Labor Market.  |  Labor Needs.  |  Labor Supply.  |  Labor Turnover.  |  Labor Utilization.  |  Research Reports.  |  Statistical Data.
Other authors/contributors Breneman, David W., author  |  National Board on Graduate Education, Washington, DC
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