Using Scenarios to Forecast the Future of Camping [microform] / Karla A. Henderson
- Bib ID:
- 5449118
- Format:
- Book and Microform
- Author:
- Henderson, Karla A
- Online Version:
- https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED252340
Broken link? let us search Trove , the Wayback Machine , or Google for you.
- Description:
-
- [Washington, D.C.] : Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, 1984
- 14 p.
- Summary:
-
The paper describes methods and results which were obtained when systematically identifying important aspects of the future of organized camping, through the combination of "expert" opinion as well as "grassroots" input. The futures forecasting technique used was scenario writing, a well-thought story to describe a future state of affairs. Four perspectives on the future were written regarding conservative, humanistic, pessimistic, and optimistic views of the future of organized camping. A random sample of 270 camp directors were invited to respond to questions about the four scenarios. The respondents were asked to read the scenarios and answer several brief questions about their reaction to the stories. The 95 respondents included 42% who were affiliated with agency camps, 16% affiliated with church camps, and 33% with private independent camps. Sixty-five percent of the respondents represented resident camps with 12% involved in day camping, and 19% involved in both. The scenario which the directors said was most likely to occur was the conservative view to which 44% responded. The optimistic view received 39%, with humanistic and pessimistic receiving 7% and 4% respectively. The optimistic scenario was chosen to be the ideal for the next 10-15 years. The appendix contains the four scenarios. (ERB)
- Notes:
-
- ERIC Note: Paper presented at the American Camping Association Convention (San Diego, CA, February 27-March 3, 1984).
- Educational level discussed: Elementary Secondary Education.
- Practitioners.
- May also be available online. Address as at 14/8/18: https://eric.ed.gov/
- Reproduction:
- Microfiche. [Washington D.C.]: ERIC Clearinghouse microfiches : positive.
- Subject:
- Available From:
- ERIC
- Copyright:
-
In Copyright
You may copy under some circumstances, for example you may copy a portion for research or study. Order a copy through Copies Direct to the extent allowed under fair dealing. Contact us for further information about copying.
Copyright status was determined using the following information:
- Material type:
- Literary Dramatic Musical
- Published status:
- Published
- Publication date:
- 1984
Copyright status may not be correct if data in the record is incomplete or inaccurate. Other access conditions may also apply. For more information please see: Copyright in library collections.
Request this item
Request this item to view in the Library’s reading room.
Feedback
Similar items
- Vorlesungen uber die Erziehung auf fruhen Stufen der Menschheitsentwicklung / Robert Alt
- Seimei no kyoiku
- An Examination of the Culture of Health Education and Education for Health in Timor-Leste / Wakako Ishikawa
- Impact of accessible eBooks on learning outcomes of Indigenous students : Final Report
- Educating for tomorrow / by J.R. Darling ... [et al.]